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  • Hurting the U.S. in Order to Hurt China

    A lot of people are unhappy with China. They’re unhappy for several reasons, but trade and investment might top the list. Some are demanding that the U.S. government take steps to punish the PRC. A few of these steps make only a bit of sense—others make no sense at all. … More

    Discovering China’s State-Led Economy, Years Late

    The front page of The New York Times yesterday featured a very long story on the state displacing the market within the Chinese economy. Hats off to the Times for getting it right, but they’re late. Very late. In fall 2002, a new Chinese government, led by current President Hu … More

    China Hiding Treasury Purchases

    China’s reported holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds fell sharply again in June and are now almost $100 billion lower than they were in July 2009. The press reports this as meaningful and important. It isn’t. You may have noticed that American interest rates are not soaring; in fact, they’re at … More

    China Passes Japan, Not As Important As It Seems

    After months of speculation, it’s finally official: the Chinese economy, as measured by GDP, is larger than the Japanese economy. In the second quarter of 2010, the Japanese economy was valued at about $1.29 trillion, the Chinese economy at $1.34 trillion. The gap will widen next year and for the … More

    The Wrong Way to Deal With India

    Do as I say, don’t do as I do. This is the message the Obama Administration and Congress are sending to fellow democracy India. While correctly pressing India to liberalize trade and investment, President Obama continues to hector India on outsourcing, and Congress has now transformed the talk into ugly … More

    Chinese Investment: Danger or Opportunity?

    Growing Chinese investment around the world is a major international economic development. In the U.S., the story is how limited Chinese investment is beyond government bonds. Limitations on Chinese investment in the U.S. are not imposed by the PRC. Other than bonds, the PRC invests primarily in natural resources, and … More

    China’s Not-So-New Currency Policy

    Beijing finally made a move on exchange rates, probably. Assuming there is some action to go with the People’s Bank of China’s stilted language, two critical errors are being made in the international response. The first concerns the nature of the change. The one-line summary, in China and elsewhere, is … More

    One Step Closer to Trade Sanctions Against China

    Tick, tick, tick — the sound of a Congressional trade bomb. By its own, not very exacting standards, Congress has patiently waited for change in Chinese currency policy. The single most likely time for that was the G-20 finance minister’s over the weekend in South Korea. But nothing meaningful from … More

    Europe Faces Reality

    The European economic model is dead. Don’t believe us? – Ask The Washington Post. Yesterday’s front-page story reported that the loans being made to stave off the debt crisis come with conditions which, if enforced, would require “European governments [to] rewrite a post-World War II social contract that has been … More

    Will Greece & Co. Poison US-China Trade?

    Uh oh. Just when it seemed Sino-American shouting over the undervalued yuan was quieting down, surprise guests are threatening to incite a riot. The problems in Greece, Portugal, and perhaps elsewhere in southern Europe are a threat to the euro. A damaged euro may mean the widely-anticipated change in Chinese … More