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  • "We Don't Know What We Don't Know" on Iran's Nuclear Program

    The Pentagon’s top intelligence official this week indicated that although Iran has been developing the means to build nuclear weapons, his agency has discerned no sign that Tehran has made a final decision to do so. Lt. General Ronald Burgess, the chief of the Defense Intelligence Agency, told the Voice of America in an interview that “We have not seen indication that the government has made the decision to move ahead with the program. But the fact still remains that we don’t know what we don’t know.”

    Given Iran’s long history of deception on the nuclear issue, it already may have decided to finish the job but concealed that decision, as it has much else in its nuclear program. But it is difficult to take seriously the proposition that Tehran will permanently refrain from building a nuclear weapon, given its extravagant multi-billion dollar investment in a nuclear infrastructure that is far more extensive than what it needs to sustain its tiny civilian nuclear program. Moreover, it is unlikely that it would be willing to pay an increasingly high price in terms of international isolation and U.N. Security Council sanctions for its failure to fully cooperate with IAEA inspectors, not to mention the growing risk of a war with Israel, if it wasn’t determined to ultimately attain its long-held ambition of becoming a nuclear weapons state.

    Although Lt. General Burgess candidly admitted that Iran’s murky decision-making process makes it difficult to obtain precise information on Iranian intentions, it is disconcerting that he reaffirmed the “bottom line assessments” of the controversial 2007 National Intelligence Estimate that concluded Iran had halted some parts of its nuclear weapons program in 2003. This assessment has been dismissed by Britain, France, Germany, Israel and other allies.

    Moreover, Iran continues to make extensive efforts to acquire technologies, materials, and equipment useful for making a nuclear weapon. Yesterday the Los Angeles Times reported that three Iranians were indicted for trying to smuggle sophisticated industrial components from the U.S. to Iran that could be used to develop a nuclear weapon. Such nuclear-related smuggling efforts do not jibe with the complacent conclusions of the 2007 NIE. As a spokesman for Immigration and Customs Enforcement told the L.A. Times: “These are not sewing machines, after all.”

    Posted in Security [slideshow_deploy]

    5 Responses to "We Don't Know What We Don't Know" on Iran's Nuclear Program

    1. Lloyd Scallan - New says:

      By this time we all should know and understand we cannot trust anything coming from this Obama controled government, including the Pentagon. Does anyone really think that we will be given the truth about any fact that will

      cast a bad light on any part of Obama's socialist plan. It is such a sad state of affairs when even our military leaders have to be doubted. Just look at the

      cover-up of the Fort Hood shooting. The top people in the Pentagon are throwing their subordinences under the preverbal bus in a shameless CYA tactic. Until we are all willing to do what we must to save the country, NOTHING can be trusted.

    2. Paul K. Williams, Es says:

      You have changed the colour of type on The Foundry. My aged eyes find the light grey letters very difficult to read. Please go back to plain, black type.

    3. Pingback: Must Know Headlines 1.18.2010 — ExposeTheMedia.com

    4. Lynn Bryant DeSpain says:

      Anyone who could honestly say,"We do not know what is going on with Iran's nuclear program." does not live on this planet! The World at large knows! Israel certainly knows. Israel most certainly will remove the Iranian threat before it can be initiated. That is a fact. At least Isreal has real men and women leading their Nation.

    5. Drew Page, IL says:

      Lynn DeSpain is right on. It seems everyone knows what's going on it Iran. I too believe that Isreal, acting in self defense will make a pre-emptive strike against Iran's nuclear facilities in the near future.

      What is difficult to equate are Mr. Obama's urging the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons and his pulling our missles out of Europe with his statements that Iran should be allowed to continue its development of nuclear power "for peaceful purposes".

      Mr. Obama, through his world apology-for-America tours, was reported to have become the darling of Europe and the UN. Surely, these new friends would support his efforts to eliminate Iran's nuclear threat to world peace, wouldn't they? With Mr. Obama's support, surely our friends in the U.N. would understand and support any pre-emptive strike by Isreal, our long time allies in the middle East.

      If Iran is allowed to develop nuclear arms, world peace will be threatened like no time since the Cuban missle crisis. With Iran's support of terrorism towards the U.S and its commitment toward the destruction of Isreal, how long will it be before the unthinkable happens?

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