Trading Our Way Around Recession

Posted September 17th, 2008 at 4.09pm in American Leadership.

In today’s Washington Post, Peterson Institute for International Economics director C. Fred Bergsten looks at anti-trade rhetoric emanating from the campaign trail and responds:

[T]heir tone obscures a major success story: the dramatic improvement in our balance of international trade. This export boom has saved us from recession over the past year and, despite the recent financial turmoil, is likely to continue doing so. It is generating at least 2 million new and high-paying jobs, about half of them from increased foreign sales by the beleaguered manufacturing sector.

Fresh evidence of the trend came last month, when the second-quarter growth rate for the U.S. economy was revised upward, to 3.3 percent. A record surge in net exports accounted for almost all of that expansion. Since the housing and financial crises erupted in mid-2007, there has been a decline in final domestic demand. We would have been in recession throughout this period had we relied wholly on internal economic forces.

International trade has saved the day. Our external balance has improved by more than $200 billion as calculated for gross domestic product (GDP) purposes, cutting the previous deficit by more than one-third. This dramatic progress has kept the overall economy growing by modest amounts. The prophets of recession ignored the international engagement of the U.S. economy.

Author: Conn Carroll
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September 17, 2008 Business blog » Blog Archive » Trading Our Way Around Recession writes:

[...] Read the rest of this great post here [...]

September 17, 2008 Mark O. Bara, Hemingway, SC writes:

Gentlemen:

First of all, thank you for your efforts on behalf of conservative causes and all patriotic Americans who believe in freedom and individual responsibility.

I would very much like to see a list of attendees for the recent Barbra Streisand/Barach Obama $28,500 per plate extravagant fundraiser, yesterday evening I believe it was. Have you or perhaps one of the conservative talk show hosts been able to compile such a list of notables, or perhaps it should be said people of notariety?

Thank you for any attention and time that you can devote to this request and in the meantime, I look forward to hearing from you.

I am by the way, a serious and dedicated conservative and registered Republican in Georgetown Co., SC. I am also privilaged to be a life member of the NRA (since 1970), a retired DNR wildlife biologist, and USCG officer back in the mid 1960’s. Thanks, Mark

Mark O. Bara
TWS Cerified Wildlife Biologist

September 17, 2008 Darvin Dowdy, Houston, TX writes:

What percent of that “record surge in net exports” was due to the higher price of grains? One of the unexpected and pleasant consequences of the Corn Ethanol program has been that it has pushed up the price of grains. And the U.S. being the largest exporter of grain in the world can’t help but benefit.

The corn ethanol program certainly has its flaws but that is more than made up for by the influx of hard foreign currency as a result of grain exports. We desperately need that right now. The Corn Ethanol program “must” remain in place if for no other reason than to keep grain prices high.
http://www.americansolutions.com/SolutionsLab/Solution.aspx?GUID=950c4257-bade-4377-91a0-f1efe777ff57

The irony is that the world demanded that we reduce our greenhouse gas emissions. So we complied. And the result - they’re paying more to us for the grain that they must have.
Darvin Dowdy

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